The Chess Mind

Author: Dennis Monokroussos.
This is a blog for chess fans by a chess fan who is more than a chess fan - other topics do creep in from time to time, per my interest.
All material here is copyrighted, and may not be reproduced without my prior permission.
Dortmund Starts Next Thursday
The Dortmund Sparkassen Chess Meeting is one of the traditional super-events on the yearly calendar, and the one where ex-world champion Vladimir Kramnik has had some of his greatest tournament successes. He has won this tournament eight times since 1995, and he's in it this year as well. Here are the participants, together with their Live Top List ratings:

Magnus Carlsen 2772.4
Dmitry Jakovenko 2759.5
Vladimir Kramnik 2759
Peter Leko (the defending champion) 2755.9
Etienne Bacrot (qualified by winning Aeroflot) 2721
Arkadij Naiditsch 2700 (according to FIDE, but not the LTL - he will apparently drop below that when the new ratings come out on Wednesday)

It's a double-round robin running through the 12th of July, with a single rest day at the halfway point (July 7). Here are the round 1 pairings (thanks to Chessdom):

Leko - Kramnik
Carlsen - Jakovenko
Naiditsch - Bacrot

Predictions?
Posted by Dennis Monokroussos on Saturday June 27, 2009 at 12:57am
ModernElite (mail):
I predict Kramnik.
6.27.2009 12:08pm
Mikolov:
Kramnik with Carlsen a close second.
6.28.2009 9:46am
elpresidente (mail):
Well, in a traditional DRR format, with a strong but not solidly top ten field, you have to assume Kramnik will score +2. So the quesiton is, will Carlsen score above plus 2? And honestly I don't see it. Maybe Naiditsch decides to make this his tailspin tournament and loses two, and Bacrot might drop a point, but Carlsen needs to get all those points and -still- break even with Jakovenko, Kramnik, and Leko.

And I really don't see it. Kramnik +2, Leko and Carlsen +1, Jakovenko =, rest negative somehow.
6.30.2009 2:10am
Dennis Monokroussos:
If it weren't for Kramnik's being a fairly new father, I'd pick him, but between that and the long layoff since his last classical tournament, I'm going for Carlsen. I think Leko and Kramnik will tie for second, then Jakovenko, then Bacrot and Naiditsch.

Whoever wins, let's hope for some interesting chess. This lineup doesn't make me optimistic.
6.30.2009 3:04am

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